The 2024 American Presidential Election

This event is the first of two conferences organised around the 2024 US elections. The second will take place on the afternoon of 13 November with PSIA. 

Speakers: 

• David Brady, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Professor of Political Economics at the Graduate School of Business and Professor of Political Science, Emeritus, Stanford University
• Douglas Rivers, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Professor of Political Science at Stanford University and Chief Scientist at YouGov/Polimetrix

Chairs:

• Stéphanie Balme, CERI (SciencesPo-CNRS) Director
• Denis Lacorne, CERI (Sciences Po-CNRS)

This conference will present and discuss new data from the polling institute YouGov, collected from a very large sample (a "polling panel") of 120,000 respondents about an election that the polls suggest  be very close. It will also raise questions about the accuracy of the polls conducted in the United States, particularly with respect to the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

Cette rencontre présentera de nouvelles données de l’institut de sondage YouGov, recueillies à partir d'un très large échantillon — "polling panel"—  de 120 000 répondants. Elle permettra de faire le point sur une élection qui s’annonce très serrée. Elle permettra aussi de s’interroger sur la qualité des sondages réalisés aux Etats-Unis, en particulier au moment des élections présidentielles de 2016 et de 2020.