The Diplomat, the Military and the Spy

 
Scientific Coordination

Christian LequesneHugo Meijer and Emilija Pundziute-Gallois

About

Since its creation in the United States in the 1950s, Intelligence studies has remained relatively marginal in (and developed in parallel to) the fields of the Foreign Policy Analysis, Security Studies and, more broadly, International Relations. 

In light of the reconfigurations of the contemporary strategic environment, intelligence can no longer be the “missing link” since it plays a key role in the formulation and implementation of states’ external action.

Accordingly, this research group aims to investigate the link between diplomacy, defense policy and intelligence in the formulation of states’ external action.

This holistic approach to the external action of the State is intended to shed light on the variety of actors, on their (cooperative/competitive) relationships and on their respective influence in the decision-making process. Within the diplomacy/defense/intelligence triangle, the role and influence of each actor (or group of actors) is likely to vary across issue areas and over time.

In order to explore the reciprocal influences between these three poles (diplomacy, defense and intelligence), this research group brings together academics working on the sociology of diplomatic practices, foreign policy analysis, strategic studies and intelligence studies.

With the support of the CAPS of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the program consists of five annual sessions, open to the public of CERI, gathering leading European scholars in the study of foreign policy, defense and intelligence. It thereby aims to foster fruitful exchanges on this under-explored dimension of states’ external action and of the differing yet complementary methods of analysis which can be leveraged by scholars to investigate these interactions.  

Sciences Po-CERI Online Seminar Series 2022
Intelligence and Statecraft 

Abstract: Statecraft is the art of conducting state affairs in world politics. It encompasses a variety of levers such as diplomacy, defence policy, and economic statecraft which, in turn, rely on the analysis and covert operations by national intelligence agencies in support of the State’s policy goals. Yet, the role of intelligence in shaping Statecraft remains ill understood. The levers of Statecraft have long been studied in parallel silos and, today, little dialogue exists between the fields of Foreign Policy Analysis (FPA), Security Studies, and International Political Economy on the one hand, and Intelligence Studies on the other. The goal of this seminar series is to investigate how intelligence activities—including both analysis and covert operations—shape Statecraft but also how the latter can orient the activities of the former. The assessment of the intentions and capabilities of foreign actors by national intelligence agencies often informs the choices of both diplomats and the military. At the same time, covert operations—including coups d’état, support for foreign insurgencies, targeted killings, influence operations, etc.—should be assessed in relation to the broader foreign policy goals of the State, namely whether they complement and support ‘overt’ governmental policies or instead work at cross purposes with them.  To shed light on the synergies and mutual interactions between Statecraft and intelligence, this seminar series brings together political scientists, historians, and investigative journalists to examine both historical and contemporary case studies through a variety of methods and sources, including archival research, interviews, and open-source intelligence (OSINT), among others. These cases are organized in two thematic areas: (i) Intelligence analysis: assessing the intentions and capabilities of foreign leaders; and (ii) Covert operations and Statecraft. By fostering synergies across disciplinary boundaries and research methods, this seminar series aims to enrich the current understanding of this neglected dimension of Statecraft.

Time: Tuesdays, 5:00 pm
Format: Webinar

Agenda

Sciences Po-CERI Online Seminar Series 2022
Intelligence and Statecraft 
Draft Program

(I) Intelligence Analysis:  Assessing Intentions and Capabilities

19 April 2022
Knowing the Adversary: Assessing the Intentions of Foreign Leaders from the Cold War to the Present
Prof. Keren Yarhi-Milo, Columbia University 

17 May 2022
Counter-Terrorism: Intelligence Analysis and Statecraft
Dr. Benjamin Oudet, University Paris 2 Panthéon-Assas

(II) Covert Operations and Statecraft

7 June 2022
Attributing Targeted Killings through Open Source (OSINT) Techniques: The Cases of Sergei Skripal and Alexei Navalny 
Christo Grozev, Bellingcat

September 2022
The Secret World: Intelligence Analysis in World History
Prof. Christopher Andrew, University of Cambridge

October 2022
Chinese Espionage and US Counterintelligence 
Anna Puglisi, Georgetown University

Thursday 10 November 2022
17 h
United States covert actions in the post-Cold War world
Magda Long, chercheuse au Department of War Studies de King’s College London

December 2022
Israeli Targeted Killings from 1948 to Today
Dr. Ronen Bergman, Yedioth Ahronoth 

 

2020/ 2021
10 mars 2021

17h
Austin Carson, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Chicago
Secrets in International Organizations: The Case of Nuclear Proliferation and International Trade

3 février 2021
12h30
Katarzyna Zysk, Deputy Director and Head of the Centre for Security Policy, Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies, Oslo, Norway
The Defense and the Intelligence in Russia's Power Projection. Who is in Control?

8 décembre 2020
12h30
Sascha Lohmann (SWP, Berlin, The Americas,German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP)
The role of intelligence in the efficient implementation of sanctions: A US / EU Comparison

6 octobre 2020
13 h
Sir David Omand (King's College):
The effect of Brexit on UK intelligence cooperation in Europe

Works

 Compte rendu de la quatrième séance du 10 mars 2021
Secrets in International Organizations: The Case of Nuclear Proliferation and International Trade
Austin Carson, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Chicago

Compte rendu de la troisième séance du 3 février 2021
The Defense and the Intelligence in Russia's Power Projection. Who is in Control?
Katarzyna Zysk (Centre for Security Policy, Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies, Oslo, Norway)

Compte rendu de la deuxième séance du 8 décembre 2020
The role of intelligence in the efficient implementation of sanctions: A US / EU Comparison
Sascha Lohmann (SWP, Berlin)

Compte rendu de la première séance du 6 octobre 2020
The effect of Brexit on UK intelligence cooperation in Europe
Sir David Omand (King's College)

Partners

Centre d’analyse, de prévision et de stratégie (CAPS) du ministère des Affaires étrangères.

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