171017 - From Preferences to Voting: Redistribution and Left Parties in Industrialized Democracies
SGCEE "From Preferences to Voting: Redistribution and Left Parties in Industrialized Democracies?"
Tuesday 17 October 2017, 12.30 - 2.30 pm, Sciences Po, Room Goguel, 56, rue des Saints-Pères (Entrance through the 27 rue Saint-Guillaume), 75007 Paris
While a significant literature in political economy has recently focused on the relationship between income and risk, on the one hand, and redistribution preferences, on the other, it is unclear whether these preferences have any influence over political behavior. In this paper we argue that redistribution preferences are indeed a most significant determinant of voting. We test our theoretical claims with data from Western Europe and the US and show that voting for redistributive parties is highly dependent on individual levels of demand for redistribution. The poor (and, to a lesser degree, those exposed to more risk) are more supportive of redistribution and, we contend, these redistribution preferences make them more likely to vote for redistributive parties. Our analysis goes beyond previous research by explicitly studying this preference mechanism in a potential-outcomes framework. We disentangle the direct and indirect effects of income and risk (as well as other factors) to obtain estimates of their effects on voting through preferences.
David Rueda, Department of Politics and Nuffield College, Oxford University, Visiting Professor of Comparative Politics at Sciences Po, CEE
David Rueda is the author of Social Democracy Inside Out (Oxford University Press, 2007) and his articles have appeared in the Annual Review of Political Science, American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, British Journal of Political Science, Comparative Political Studies, Comparative Politics, Perspectives on Politics, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, and World Politics. He has received numerous research awards, including a British Academy Research Development Award (2008-2010).
His current research focuses on the causes and consequences of inequality, the determinants of redistribution preferences, the role of the welfare state in times of crisis, and insider-outsider politics.
Emiliano Grossman, Sciences Po, CEE
Florence Nocca, Sciences Po, CEE
Pour les personnes externes à Sciences Po : Merci de veiller à vous présenter à l'accueil 10 minutes avant le début de la séance et de vous munir de vos papiers d'identité
For the external people to Sciences Po: You will have to arrive 10 minutes before the beginning of the seminar and to provide you with your identity papers