In order to better understand the logic behind the recent French legislative election results and those of the June 2024 European Election, Ipsos, Cevipof and Le Monde set up the framework for a panel survey in July 2023: the French Electoral Survey. This unique panel was composed of 11,000 individuals questioned on various occasions over the past 12 months.

The 7th and final Wave of this Ipsos survey (carried out from July 26^th to August 1^st) for Le Monde, the Fondation Jean-Jaurès, CEVIPOF, and the Institut Montaigne, has resulted in a detailed analysis of this unprecedented electoral sequence (the European election followed by an early legislative election), at a time when France continues to be mired in a period of political uncertainty.  

It explores the opinions of French citizens on a number of subjects such as trust in the National Assembly and potential coalitions.

Some Survey Conclusions:

- There is a general sense of distrust among the electorate with 73% of those interviewed expressing such distrust,

- The France Insoumise party has been damaged,

-The Rassemblement National has resisted.

On the subject of coalitions, 50% of voters would prefer an alliance between the Ensemble group and the left-wing parties, minus LFI, whereas 48% would support an  Ensemble / LR coalition.

Full survey results (PDF, 1,4 Mo)

Download the analysis

• "Map showing results of the First Round of the Legislative Election 2024"

Pierre-Henri Bono

• "New Partisan Balances"

Jérôme Jaffré

• “The National Rally: a dominant, national and ... popular party”

Pascal Perrineau

• “The National Rally Vote: A Vote for Social Recognition?”

Kevin Arceneaux

• “The complex equation required for the NR to obtain an absolute majority”

Martial Foucault

• “The Risky Strategy Adopted by the Left to Tackle the National Rally”

Luc Rouban

• “The Failure of Emmanuel Macron”

Bruno Cautrès

• “Younger Voters: the Preference for Radicality But for the Left Rather than the Right”

Anne Muxel

Eight CEVIPOF researchers offer an on-the-spot analysis of the European election results. Eight angles of analysis for a better understanding of this election (based on the actual results on 9 June, and data from the French electoral survey 2024 Ipsos, Le Monde, Cevipof, Institut Montaigne, Fondation Jean Jaurès).

Download the analysis (PDF, 210 KB) Deciphering the results the day after 9 June 2024

• A deficit in French public opinion on European integration

Bruno Cautrès, CNRS researcher at CEVIPOF

• Dissolution: the unbelievable result of the European elections

Pascal Perrineau, Full Professor

• Sanctioning Emmanuel Macron: the major issue in the 2024 European election

Martial Foucault, Full Professor in Political Science at Sciences Po Paris,

Holder of the Chaire de recherche sur les Outre-mer at Sciences Po Paris

• The vote and abstention as an expression of underlying anger 

Anne Muxel, Deputy Director at the CEVIPOF and CNRS emeritus senior research fellow

• Hugely unequal performances for the Extreme-right in Europe 

Gilles Ivaldi, CNRS researcher at CEVIPOF

• Electoral Macronism: from monumental failure to major risk 

Jérôme Jaffré, Associated researcher at CEVIPOF

• The dynamic of the vote in favour of the Raphaël Glucksmann list 

Luc Rouban, Senior research fellow CNRS at CEVIPOF

• The Ecologists: just barely… 

Daniel Boy, Emeritus senior research fellow

24 June 2024

Room K008, CEVIPOF, Sciences Po

1 place Saint-Thomas-d’Aquin, 75007, Paris, France

In-person event, Zoom relay

Registration form: tinyurl.com/populism-paris

09:00 - 09:15 | Welcoming Participants

09:15 - 09:30 | Opening Remarks

09:30 - 10:45 | Roundtable 1

Camila Vergara (University of Essex)

The people and the popularis

Giuseppe Ballacci (Universidade do Minho)

Populism, Ancient and Modern: Ideologies, Institutions, Styles

10:45 - 11:15 | Break

11:15 - 13:00 | Roundtable 2

Samuel Hayat (CEVIPOF, Sciences Po)

The Rousseauist rhetoric during the French Revolution: populism, republicanism and anti-politics

Clara Ramas (Universidad Complutense de Madrid)

The People and Modern Politics in Marx (1848-1852)

Federico Tarragoni (Université de Caen)

Le populisme et le problème de la démocratie constituante

13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch Break

14:30 - 15:45 | Roundtable 3

Thomás Zicman de Barros (Universidade do Minho)

Populism in Latin American History: Bonapartism, Masses and Transgression

Felipe Rafael Linden (École des hautes études en sciences sociales)

An alternative reading of “populism” in Latin American social sciences and beyond

15:45 - 16:00 | Break

16:00 - 17:30 | Keynote Address

Nadia Urbinati (Columbia University)

From a Romanticized People to Democracy’s Pathology

Organising committee: Giuseppe Ballacci, Samuel Hayat and Thomás Zicman de Barros

Inquiries: thomas.zicmandebarros@sciencespo,fr

Supported by CEVIPOF (Sciences Po), the ANR Project THEOVAIL, CEPS (University of Minho) and FCT Portugal (2022.05060.PTDC)

Mardi 28 mai, à l'issue du "grand oral agricole" organisé par le CEVIPOF, AgroToulouse et REUSSIR AGRA, à Sciences Po Paris, les chercheurs Pierre-Henri Bono et François Purseigle ont dévoilé les résultats de leur enquête exclusive auprès des agriculteurs et des agricultrices français dans la perspective des prochaines élections européennes.

La note de recherche est à consulter ici : « Les agriculteurs et les européennes : un isolat électoral encore repérable,  de plus en plus bigarré » (PDF, 705 Ko) Pierre-Henri Bono et François Purseigle, mai 2024.

Le rapport complet de l'enquête est à consulter ici : "Les agriculteurs français à la veille de l’élection européenne de juin 2024" (PDF, 2,8 Mo) Pierre-Henri Bono et François Purseigle, mai 2024.

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Ce qu'il faut retenir sur les intentions de vote :

• Alors qu’ils sont en moyenne plus à droite que l’ensemble des Français, les agriculteurs et agricultrices se déclarent moins tentés par le RN.
• LR profite de cette moindre influence du RN.
• La liste Chasseurs et ruralité bénéficie aussi d’une sur-intention
• La liste Reconquête fait aussi un meilleur score auprès des agriculteurs et agricultrices.
• Renaissance et ses alliés, font jeu égal avec la liste LR
• Pour les partis de gauche, des intentions de vote systématiquement plus faibles que celles de l’ensemble des Français et des ruraux.
• Une bonne performance de la liste EELV
• Ce sont les plus jeunes (40 ans et moins) qui accordent leur préférence à la liste de Jordan Bardella.
• Si l’on ajoute les intentions de vote pour les listes Reconquête, Debout la France et des Patriotes, ce n’est pas moins de 46 % des moins de 40 ans qui accorderaient leur vote à ce bloc d’extrême droite.
• Quelles que soient les catégories d’âge, les intentions de vote pour la liste LR sont largement supérieures à celles observées dans le reste de la société.
• C’est parmi les plus âgés que l’on rencontre le plus d’agriculteurs souhaitant apporter leur vote aux listes de gauche(hormis LFI) et notamment la liste EELV.

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Échantillon de l'enquête :

1 258 exploitants agricoles.

Dates de Terrain

Du 8 avril 2024 au 29 avril 2024

Mardi 28 mai, les candidats de 7 listes majoritaires aux élections européennes participeront à un grand oral "agricole".

L’agriculture dans la campagne des Européennes : L'Europe, la crise agricole et vous !

Une Europe avec ou sans agriculteurs ? Une Europe avec ou sans environnement ? Une Europe agricole souveraine ou libérale ? Ce sont les questions qui leur seront posées lors de ce débat organisé par le Centre de recherche Politique de Science Po (CEVIPOF), AgroToulouse et REUSSIR AGRA.

Sur scène :

•  pour Renaissance, MoDem, Horizons : Valerie Hayer et Jérémy Decercle
•  pour le parti socialiste : Christophe Clergeau
•  pour le Rassemblement national_: Gilles Pennelle
•  pour les Républicains : Celine Imart
•  pour la France Insoumise : Aurelie Trouvé
•  pour EELV : Claude Gruffa
•  pour Reconquête : à définir

Cet événement sera l’occasion de dévoiler les résultats d’une enquête exclusive CEVIPOF Sciences Po de François Purseigle et Pierre-Henri Bono sur le regard que les agriculteurs portent sur ces européennes et la crise agricole.

Suivez la conférence en live sur la chaîne YouTube du partenaire@reussir6880 de 9h à 13h.

An Encounter with Michael Sandel: "The Tyranny of Merit: What's Become of the Common Good?"

It is with immense pleasure that Sciences Po and CEVIPOF invite you to an encounter with Michael Sandel, world-renowned Professor of Political Philosophy at Harvard University, to discuss his book The Tyranny of Merit: What's Become of the Common Good? (La tyrannie du mérite, Albin Michel)

Following the enormous success of Justice: What’s the Right Thing To Do? (2017)  Professor Sandel now explores the central question of our time: What’s become of the common good? He argues that in order to overcome the various crises that are currently upending our world, we must rethink attitudes toward both success and failure that have accompanied globalization and rising inequality.

Professor Sandel’s presentation will be followed by comments from CEVIPOF discussants Annabelle Lever and Janie Pélabay and finally by an open discussion with the audience present. 

Professor Sandel will be happy to sign copies of his book after the session has ended.

The conference will be held in English.

Tuesday May 21st , 2024 - 5pm to 7pm

Amphithéâtre Jacques Chapsal

27, rue Saint-Guillaume, 75007 Paris

Participation is free but registration is required: Please register here

The Tyranny of Merit: What's Become of the Common Good?

These are dangerous times for democracy. We live in an age of winners and losers, where the odds are stacked in favor of the already fortunate. Stalled social mobility and entrenched inequality give the lie to the American credo that "you can make it if you try". The consequence is a brew of anger and frustration that has fueled populist protest and extreme polarization. This, in turn, has led to a deep sense of distrust in both government and our fellow citizens - leaving us morally unprepared to face the profound challenges of our time.

Professor Sandel shows the hubris a meritocracy generates among the winners and the harsh judgement it imposes on those left behind. He then traces the dire consequences of such attitudes across a broad swathe of American life. He offers an alternative way of thinking about success that is more attentive to the role of luck in human affairs, more conducive to an ethics of humility and solidarity, and more affirming of the dignity of work. The Tyranny of Merit points us toward a hopeful vision of a new politics based on the common good.

The Ph.D students of Sciences Po are pleased to annouce the 10th Graduate Conference in Political Theory.

The title this year is the Metamorphosis of the Self: Technology, identity, and power in late modernity.

The special guest will be Shoshana Zuboff, well known for her research about surveillance capitalism, who will deliver an opening and original lecture.

Further information are available below. The conferences will take place in Paris from May 22 to May 23 in 2024. All Ph.D students that want to connect their research with political theory, the self, and technologies, are invited to submit proposals. Communications can be in French or in English.

Call for proposals

Avec le soutien du Collège international de philosophie

Interventions de Fabien Carrié (Institut d’études politiques de Fontainebleau, Laboratoire interdisciplinaire d’étude du politique – Hannah Arendt), Antoine Doré (INRAE, laboratoire AGIR) et Jérôme Michalon (CNRS, laboratoire TRIANGLE) sur « La légitimation d’une entreprise de représentation politique des animaux ».

D’un point de vue sociologique, la cause animale peut être considérée comme une entreprise de représentation politique. Entreprise de représentation singulière, puisque contrairement au porte-parolat de groupes humains, les représentés ne peuvent pas contester l’activité de représentation. Si cet état de fait facilite la délégation, cela complique dans le même temps la légitimation des prétentions des porte-parole revendiqués des animaux. On reviendra dans cette communication sur le processus de légitimation de ce mouvement social, depuis son émergence à la croisée des XVIIIe et XIXe siècles jusqu’à nos jours. Pour le comprendre, on adoptera une perspective relationnelle, attentive aux interactions entre les militants de la cause, les « déviants » qu’ils confrontent et les institutions publiques, mais aussi aux usages de toute une série de productions intellectuelles et scientifiques dans la structuration et la justification d’un porte-parolat pour les animaux.

Pour prendre connaissance du programme du séminaire:
https://lnkd.in/eEewNNMF

Damien BOL, Assistant Professor of Political Behavior,  The Effect of Being a Poll Worker on Democratic Attitudes in a Post-Conflict Society: Evidence from an Experiment in Colombia (Intervention en anglais)

Abstract: In an era marked by democratic backsliding, maintaining high levels of support for democracy among the population is crucial. A promising policy to achieve this goal is the direct involvement of citizens in the electoral process as poll workers. It is expected that their confidence in and support for elections and democratic procedures will increase through hands-on experience in the electoral process. In this paper, we test this hypothesis by leveraging a pre-registered, large-scale experiment conducted in collaboration with the Colombian government during the 2023 regional elections. As a democratic yet post-conflict society, Colombia represents a critical case study in this context. In this experiment, educated adults were randomly selected to serve as poll workers. Our findings, derived from a post-election survey with approximately 30,000 respondents—where poll workers were overrepresented to ensure statistical robustness—indicate that being selected as a poll worker and undergoing the relevant training causally enhances confidence in electoral procedures, but less so in municipalities heavily affected by political violence during the civil conflict between the government and guerrilla forces. Furthermore, our results also indicate the existence of a backlash effect of poll working that decrease trust in the way votes are counted. This paper thus offers cautious support for the use of poll working as a strategy to counteract democratic backsliding.

Discutante : Lou Safra (sous réserve)

Merci de s'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr

Présentation du Dictionnaire encyclopédique du Parlement par les directeurs de l’ouvrage - Damien Connil, Priscilla Jensel-Monge et Audrey de Montis.

Gérard Larcher, président du Sénat, ouvrira la séance

Programme & inscription (Pdf, 164Ko)

Peter Loewen, Munk School, University of Toronto, interviendra sur Attitudes toward Automation and the Demand for Policies Addressing Job Loss: the Effects of Information about Trade-Offs

En présentiel : salle k011, 1, pl. St thomas d'Aquin

Lien Zoom après inscription auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr

Débat / Rencontre

Autour de l'ouvrage Citizenship : The third Revolution, Oxford University Press, à paraitre en novembre 2023, en présence des auteurs.

Mercredi 18 octobre 2023 / 11h-12h30

• David Jacobson, Professor of Sociology at the University of South Florida and Professor 
• Manlio Cinalli, Professor of Sociology at he Univertsity of Milan and Research Fellow at CEVIPOF

Conférence organisée à l'occasion de la sortie du dernier ouvrage de Hans Joas Comment naissent les valeurs, Calmann-Lévy, 2023.

Comité scientifique : Gilles Achache (Calmann-Lévy), Alexandre Escudier (Sciences Po/CEVIPOF), Pierre Gisel (Université de Lausanne) et Jean-Marc Tétaz (Université d'Iéna) 

• Le programme (Pdf 31Ko)
• S'inscrire

Piero Ignazi interviendra sur Du Movimento Sociale Italiano (MSI) à Fratelli d'Italia (FdI) : les quatre particularités de l'extrême droite italienne. Le résumé, (pdf 170Ko)

Discutants : Gilles Ivaldi & Anne Muxel

S'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr

Daniel Tanguay interviendra sur De la fin de l'histoire à la fin de l'humanité ? Quelques réflexions sur la nature de la philosophie spéculative de l'histoire au XXIe siècle. Résumé de la séance (Pdf, 44Ko)

Discutant : Alexandre Escudier

S'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr

Call for paper Workshop, Friday, December 15, 2023 Sciences Po - Cevipof - CSO Working

Languages: English and French

Deadline : June 01-2023

Organization : ▪ Sarah Gensburger, CNRS-Centre de Sociologie des Organisations (Sciences Po) : sarah.gensburger@sciencespo.fr ▪ Paul Max Morin, Cevipof (Sciences Po) - Université Nice Côte - d’Azur : paul.morin@sciencespo.fr

Background:

The French colonization of Algeria (1830-1962), the Algerian War of Independence (1954-1962), and the exiles and migrations they engendered, have profoundly influenced the formation of contemporary France. Republican institutions, political families, French capitalism, the country's demographics, culture and even language were partly forged in these historical experiences. The year 2022 marked the sixtieth anniversary of the end of the Algerian War of Independence and the colonization of Algeria. Parts of French society participated in the commemoration of the end of the conflict. In doing so, these actors produced a certain number of speeches, gestures, or public policies about the past. This time of memory was coupled with a political time that included this anniversary in an election year and ensured a strong presence of colonization and the Algerian War in the media...Read more (Pdf, 361Ko)

Workshop Supported by the CEVIPOF and the ANR Project THEOVAIL

Organizers: Antoine Aubert, Samuel Hayat, Camille Ternier, Mathijs van de Sande, Nicolai von Eggers 

Argument - Since their emergence as disciplines, whether in departments of history, political science or philosophy, political theory and the history of political thought have traditionally focused on the great authors. Their texts are sometimes described as the "canon" of political thought (Stuurman 2000), a term that indicates what this approach owes to theology. What has sometimes been called the "new" history of ideas (Skornicki and Tournadre-Plancq 2015; Bonin and Dupuis-Déri 2019), inspired by the Cambridge school of the history of ideas, Begriffgeschichte, gender and postcolonial studies, the Marxist or Bourdieusian social history of ideas, or by comparative/global political theory, has considerably broadened the scope of relevant texts. It is not uncommon for political theorists and historians of ideas to focus on lesser-known authors and controversies than on the individual works of a handful of great thinkers... Read more (PDF, 155Ko)

The Program (PDF, Ko)

Mary Scudder interviendra sur Deliberation and its Limits in Divided Democracies -(intervention en anglais)

Résumé : How do we facilitate deliberation across deep identity differences and political disagreement? Deliberative democratic theory has ushered in a talk-centric rather than a vote-centric understanding of democracy. The central claim of deliberative democracy is that the legitimacy of a decision depends as much on the quality of deliberation that precedes voting as it does on the outcome of the vote itself. In this talk, Scudder draws on her previous work to show that in a democracy, citizens do not have to agree with their political opponents and cross-partisans, but they do have to listen to them. Being heard by others is what ensures we have a say in the laws to which we are held. Nevertheless, listening to those with whom we disagree is hard and often fraught. Scudder explains the democratic power of listening even in deeply divided societies and explores how we can encourage democratic listening across identity differences. She also considers the limits of deliberative democracy and, drawing from her forthcoming book, explains when a more adversarial orientation to political engagement might be democratically warranted.

Discutant : Kevin Arceneaux 

En présentiel : salle du Conseil, 13, rue de L'Université

En distanciel : s'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr 

Pour une généalogie de l'antipolitique citoyenne en France, Samuel Hayat

Discutant : Gilles Ivaldi

S'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr pour obtenir le lien zoom

Kalli Giannellos (CEVIPOF) & Bernard Reber (CEVIPOF) interviendront sur Éthique réflexive de la participation. Une question pour la recherche et la démocratie

Discutant : Jim Dratwa (https://rm.coe.int/dratwa-e/16809478af)

S'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr

Naomi SCHEINERMAN  interviendra sur Democratic participation in regulating genome editing tools

Discutant : Guillaume Levrier

S'inscrire auprès de info.cevipof@sciencespo.fr

The challenges raised by large-scale genome engineering in the nuclease age.

Conference by Prof. Rodolphe Barrangou on new genome editing technologies followed by a Q&A session on the transformations of ecosystems and their potential integration as the infrastructures of the future. About the event Genome engineering have yielded important technological advances which have been successfully scaled up. The artificial synthesis of insulin is often quoted as a major progress. The covid-19 pandemic has highlighted how recent techniques, such as faster DNA sequencing and mRNA vaccines, can be deployed continent-wide. As such, they have arguably passed an infrastructural threshold: herd immunity, while it has limitations, is functionally the result of a network of agents deciding that their immune systems collectively benefit from maintaining themselves as part the structure they belong to. Genome engineering techniques such as CRISPR open new perspectives in this domain. The advent of programmable nucleases raises the question of changing ecosystems on a molecular level to serve social welfare...Read more (Pdf, 205 Ko)

Moderation by Guillaume Levrier

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