{"id":10319,"date":"2020-11-16T09:30:22","date_gmt":"2020-11-16T07:30:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/?p=10319"},"modified":"2020-12-07T19:58:50","modified_gmt":"2020-12-07T17:58:50","slug":"migration-wages-and-unemployment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/migration-wages-and-unemployment\/?lang=en","title":{"rendered":"Migration, Wages and (un)Employment"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>A Brief Overview of the State of the Art<\/h3>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><em>by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/ceri\/en\/cerispire-user\/7131\/1612\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Thiollet<\/a> et <a href=\"https:\/\/floswald.github.io\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Florian Oswald<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_10297\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10297\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-10297\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425-195x146.jpg 195w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425-50x38.jpg 50w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425-100x75.jpg 100w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_616326425.jpg 800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-10297\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u00a9 Shutterstock<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Labour economics classically predicts that wages are determined by supply and demand. Theoretically, if demand remains constant, emigration should increase wages in countries of origin (decreasing labour supply) and decrease wages in receiving countries (increasing labour supply). A malthusian vision of the economy also assumes that the arrival of new-comers in a market of limited jobs will leave some workers without employment or drive previously employed ones out of their jobs. The view\u00a0 that immigration decreases natives\u2019 wages and generates unemployment are widely held. An alternative theory suggests that immigrants also consume in the destination country, hence increasing local demand, and\/or that local production expands, now that additional labor is available. We need to try and empirically distinguish the competing theories from each other. We also need to examine if this is what is happening on empirical grounds at local levels?<\/p>\n<h4>Causality is Difficult to Establish<\/h4>\n<p>Some studies show that the wage curve corresponds to what is implied by the first type of theory: immigration will decrease wages\u00a0 by 3 to 4 % for a 10% increase in workers in a given skill-experience group<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_1');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_1');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_1\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(1)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_1\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">George J. Borjas, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1162\/003355303322552810&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852545000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2KeyKZuoaoOCj0Cd-n99Wf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Demand Curve is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market<\/a>&#8220;, <em>The Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/em>, November 2003.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_1').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_1', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<\/p>\n<p>But economists find it difficult to identify the impact of migration on wages or unemployment, both in countries of origins and in host countries. Why? Causal relations are hard to establish because migrants often move to receiving countries when labour market conditions are good and improving there. Thus, observing that wages do not decrease when migrants arrive may both mean that they are not impacted by migration, or that wage increase due to better labour market conditions compensate the impact. The same applies to unemployment: context matters and market dynamics strongly determine the impact of immigration or emigration.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_10299\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10299\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-10299\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-2048x1536.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-195x146.jpg 195w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-50x38.jpg 50w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/sign-hired-and-fired-100x75.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-10299\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">CC0 Public Domain \/ pixy.org<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Apart from problems to establish a causal relationship, migration effects are also specific to time and place, to economic conditions and dynamics in host and receiving countries. Thus results will vary according to the type of data (e.g. micro vs macro) used, the scale (city, national, inter-national), the theoretical model assumed, and the timeframe (which years, and short- vs long run) considered.<\/p>\n<p>Empirical evidence in OECD countries has recently shown that the overall effect of immigration is either neutral or slightly positive on average natives\u2019 wages and has no overall impact on natives\u2019 employment. But these results need refining: when looking at differential impact along the remuneration distribution, negative effects for low skilled workers and positive effects for highly skilled workers are observed, and any declines in the wages and employment in the short run is compensated by rising wages and employment in the long run.<\/p>\n<h4>The Impact Differs According to Employment Levels<\/h4>\n<p>The UK example (1983-2000) shows that immigration had no statistically significant effect on the overall employment outcomes of UK-born workers<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_2');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_2');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_2\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(2)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_2\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Christian Dustmann, Tommaso Frattini and Ian Preston, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/econpapers.repec.org\/article\/ouprestud\/v_3a80_3ay_3a2013_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a145-173.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852532000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3J1Bv60kGWvl5DvZMJYxfU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Effect of Immigration along the Distribution of Wages<\/a>&#8220;, <em>Review of Economic Studies<\/em>, 2013.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_2').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_2', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<br \/>\nIt also shows that wages of poorer native workers decrease (the 20th percentile of the distribution) whereas wages of the richer native workers grow (above the 40th percentile) when immigrants arrive. This echoes an important dimension of immigration: the fact that migrants downgrade considerably upon arrival (both in wages and level of employment) and that their location in the wage distribution (crowding the bottom) is generally below their actual skill level. Empirical evidence shows that this initial mismatch explains the wage impact. Similar studies carried out in the UK after the 2008 crisis confirm the lack of any impact of migration on natives\u2019 unemployment in aggregate during the 2008 economic crisis<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_3');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_3');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_3\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(3)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_3\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Paolo Lucchino, Chiara Rosazza Bondibene and Jonathan Portes,&#8221;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.niesr.ac.uk\/sites\/default\/files\/publications\/dp386.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Examining the relationship between immigration and unemployment using National Insurance Number registration data<\/a>&#8220;, <em>NIESR Discussion Paper.<\/em><\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_3').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_3', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_10289\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10289\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-10289 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/olumide-bamgbelu-edUFT7_OHQ0-unsplash1-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/olumide-bamgbelu-edUFT7_OHQ0-unsplash1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/olumide-bamgbelu-edUFT7_OHQ0-unsplash1-219x146.jpg 219w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/olumide-bamgbelu-edUFT7_OHQ0-unsplash1-50x33.jpg 50w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/olumide-bamgbelu-edUFT7_OHQ0-unsplash1-112x75.jpg 112w, https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/olumide-bamgbelu-edUFT7_OHQ0-unsplash1.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-10289\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Photo by Olumide Bamgbelu , Unsplash<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Further empirical case studies support the idea that fully opening the border to immigration from neighbouring countries increased immigrants to Switzerland only by 4% of the labour force over 8 years <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_4');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_4');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_4\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(4)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_4\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Andreas Beerli &amp; Giovanni Peri, 2015, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/p\/nbr\/nberwo\/21319.html&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852534000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2Um0c4RIAtc28URk2kk6CX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Market Effects of Opening the Border: Evidence from Switzerland<\/a>,&#8221; <em>NBER Working Papers.<\/em><\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_4').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_4', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>. Such an increased inflow did not have significant aggregate effects but generated differentiated effects across the wage ladder: highly educated workers benefited through higher wages, while middle-educated ones experienced employment losses.<\/p>\n<p>A US based study showed that in the period from 1990 to 2006 immigration had a small effect on the wages of native workers with no high school degree (between 0.6% and +1.7%). It also had a small positive effect on average native wages (+0.6%) and a substantial negative effect (\u22126.7%) on wages of previous immigrants in the long run<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_5');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_5');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_5\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(5)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_5\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P., and Giovanni Peri. 2012. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1542-4774.2011.01052.x\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rethinking the Effect of Immigration on Wages<\/a>\u201d<em><i>Journal of the European Economic Association<\/i> 10<\/em>.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_5').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_5', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<\/p>\n<h4>Studies Have Contradictory Results<\/h4>\n<p>Recent controversies have questioned the existing consensus that the impact of immigration on average native-born workers is small.\u00a0 Classical historical studies<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_6');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_6');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_6\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(6)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_6\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Historical episodes that served as \u201cnatural experiment\u201d for those immigration chocs are the Mariel boatlift in Miami in 1980 (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2523702\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Card, 1990<\/a>), repatriated workers from Algeria to France after 1962 (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2524278\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hunt, 1992<\/a>), post-soviet Jews to Israel between 1990 and 1994 (<a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/qje\/article-abstract\/116\/4\/1373\/1903234?redirectedFrom=fulltext\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Friedberg, 2001<\/a>), Balkan refugees to 18 EU countries in the 1990s (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/1468-0297.00136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Angrist &amp; Kugler, 2003<\/a><\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_6').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_6', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> using city-based data had used mass sudden inflows of refugees to establish that immigration does not decrease wages (Card, 1990; <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_7');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_7');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_7\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(7)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_7\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">&#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=2ahUKEwia6bzK7oTtAhWQHhQKHXo7DEYQFjAAegQIBBAC&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.journals.uchicago.edu%2Fdoi%2F10.1086%2F209979&amp;usg=AOvVaw1I2ehEfK3yonfemIJWrSsn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Impact of Mass Migration on the Israeli Labor Market<\/a>&#8220;, Rachel M. Friedberg, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, nov. 2001.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_7').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_7', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> but may slightly increase unemployment <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_8');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_8');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_8\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(8)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_8\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Joshua D. Angrist and Adriana D. Kugler, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/3590203?seq=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Protective or Counter-Productive? Labour Market Institutions and the Effect of Immigration on EU Natives<\/a>&#8220;, <em>The Economic Journal<\/em>, Jun., 2003; Hunt, Jennifer. 1992. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2524278\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Impact of the 1962 Repatriates from Algeria on the French Labor Market<\/a>.\u201d <i>Industrial and Labor Relations Review<\/i> 45<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_8').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_8', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>. A study <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_9');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_9');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_9\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(9)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_9\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">George J. Borjas and Joan Monras, 2016. &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/econpapers.repec.org\/paper\/cmfwpaper\/wp2016_5f1616.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852540000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2K9iynPTlDNTmHOIk59YXq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks<\/a>&#8220;, <em>Working Papers, CEMFI<\/em>.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_9').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_9', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> confirmed the distributional effect of refuge inflows on wages (negative on low wages and positive on high wages).<\/p>\n<p>But other influential contributions<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_10');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_10');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_10\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(10)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_10\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Borjas, George J. 2003. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/25053941\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Demand Curve Is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market<\/a>.\u201d <i>The Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/i> 118 ; Borjas, George J. 2017. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/0019793917692945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wage Impact of the <i>Marielitos<\/i>\u202f: A Reappraisal<\/a>.\u201d <i>ILR Review.<\/i><\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_10').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_10', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script> have found a significant negative effect of immigration on the wages of low skilled natives in the U.S. Another study across OECD countries suggested the contrary: no impact of <i>immigration<\/i> on the wages of low skilled workers since the 1990s but negative impact of <i>emigration<\/i> from OECD countries<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_11');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_11');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_11\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(11)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_11\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Fr\u00e9d\u00e9ric Docquier &amp; \u00c7a\u011flar Ozden &amp; Giovanni Peri, 2014. &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/a\/wly\/econjl\/v124y2014i579p1106-1145.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labour Market Effects of Immigration and Emigration in OECD Countries<\/a>,&#8221;<em> Economic Journal<\/em>, Royal Economic Society.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_11').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_11', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>. Significances of wage drops or increases were contested in both cases<span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_12');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_12');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_12\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(12)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_12\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Clemens, Michael, and Jennifer Hunt. 2017. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3386\/w23433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results.<\/a>\u201d w23433. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_12').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_12', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<\/p>\n<h4>What Needs to be Considered<\/h4>\n<p>Understanding the mechanisms that are beneficial for labour markets, for natives and migrants, understanding how much and more crucially for how long labour markets are affected in the host countries, requires more than the simpler question \u201cdoes immigration decrease natives\u2019 wages\u201d. It takes further insight into labour market mechanisms such as:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #333333;\"><b>Complementarity<\/b> between natives <i>vs<\/i> immigrants<\/span><span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_13');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_13');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_13\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(13)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_13\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Card, David. 1990. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2523702\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market<\/a>\u201d <i>Industrial and Labor Relations Review<\/i> 43 (2): 245\u201357.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_13').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_13', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>. <span style=\"color: #333333;\">As demonstrated by empirical evidence in California from the 1960s onwards, because immigrants are imperfect substitutes for natives with similar education and age, they tend to stimulate, rather than harm, the demand and wages of most US native workers<\/span><span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_14');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_14');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_14\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(14)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_14\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Peri, Giovanni. 2007. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3386\/w12956\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Immigrants\u2019 Complementarities and Native Wages: Evidence from California.<\/a>\u201d w12956. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_14').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_14', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #333333;\"><b>Internal mobility<\/b> (geographical and professional) of workers both migrants and natives adapting to labour demands (within countries and at a regional scale for the Schengen space). Findings in the United States which could be transferred to the EU Schengen zone or ECOWAS in West Africa suggests that except for a reduced number of native workers, most wage effects resulting from more migration are probably dissipated quite fast <span class=\"footnote_referrer\"><a role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" onclick=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_15');\" onkeypress=\"footnote_moveToReference_10319_1('footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_15');\" ><sup id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_15\" class=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text\">(15)<\/sup><\/a><span id=\"footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_15\" class=\"footnote_tooltip\">Monras, Joan. 2018. <em>\u201c<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/cepr.org\/active\/publications\/discussion_papers\/dp.php?dpno=13394\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Immigration and Wage Dynamics: Evidence from the Mexican Peso Crisis.<\/a>\u201d<em> CEPR Discussion Paper 13394<\/em>.<\/span><\/span><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> jQuery('#footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_15').tooltip({ tip: '#footnote_plugin_tooltip_text_10319_1_15', tipClass: 'footnote_tooltip', effect: 'fade', predelay: 0, fadeInSpeed: 200, delay: 400, fadeOutSpeed: 200, position: 'top right', relative: true, offset: [10, 10], });<\/script>.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>To sum it up, the evidence from refugee waves shows negative short-term effects on some native workers\u2019 wages and employment in some times and places but no effect in others, and does not support claims of large overall negative effect even on low skilled workers.<\/p>\n<pre><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/ceri\/en\/cerispire-user\/7131\/1612\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Thiollet<\/a><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">, CNRS researcher at the Center for Internanational Studies examines migration policies in developing countries. She is particularly interested in the Middle East and sub-Saharan Africa. <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/spire.sciencespo.fr\/auteur\/2441\/69f0g8p3i68abput7cksehpocl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"color: #333333;\">See her publications<\/span><\/a><\/span>\r\n\r\n<a href=\"https:\/\/floswald.github.io\/\">Florian Oswald<\/a><span style=\"color: #333333;\"> is an Assistant Professor at the Deparment of Economics. His work is in the fields of Housing, Urban, Macro and Labor Economics. He also like to think about computational techniques required for structural estimation of microeconometric models.s. <a style=\"color: #333333;\" href=\"https:\/\/floswald.github.io\/#publications\">See his publications.<\/a><\/span><\/pre>\n<div class=\"speaker-mute footnotes_reference_container\"> <div class=\"footnote_container_prepare\"><p><span role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"footnote_reference_container_label pointer\" onclick=\"footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_10319_1();\">Notes<\/span><span role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"footnote_reference_container_collapse_button\" style=\"display: none;\" onclick=\"footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_10319_1();\">[<a id=\"footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_10319_1\">+<\/a>]<\/span><\/p><\/div> <div id=\"footnote_references_container_10319_1\" style=\"\"><table class=\"footnotes_table footnote-reference-container\"><caption class=\"accessibility\">Notes<\/caption> <tbody> \r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_1');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_1\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>1<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">George J. Borjas, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1162\/003355303322552810&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852545000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2KeyKZuoaoOCj0Cd-n99Wf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Demand Curve is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market<\/a>&#8220;, <em>The Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/em>, November 2003.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_2');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_2\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>2<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Christian Dustmann, Tommaso Frattini and Ian Preston, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/econpapers.repec.org\/article\/ouprestud\/v_3a80_3ay_3a2013_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a145-173.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852532000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3J1Bv60kGWvl5DvZMJYxfU\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Effect of Immigration along the Distribution of Wages<\/a>&#8220;, <em>Review of Economic Studies<\/em>, 2013.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_3');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_3\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>3<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Paolo Lucchino, Chiara Rosazza Bondibene and Jonathan Portes,&#8221;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.niesr.ac.uk\/sites\/default\/files\/publications\/dp386.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Examining the relationship between immigration and unemployment using National Insurance Number registration data<\/a>&#8220;, <em>NIESR Discussion Paper.<\/em><\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_4');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_4\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>4<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Andreas Beerli &amp; Giovanni Peri, 2015, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/p\/nbr\/nberwo\/21319.html&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852534000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2Um0c4RIAtc28URk2kk6CX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Market Effects of Opening the Border: Evidence from Switzerland<\/a>,&#8221; <em>NBER Working Papers.<\/em><\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_5');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_5\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>5<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P., and Giovanni Peri. 2012. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/j.1542-4774.2011.01052.x\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Rethinking the Effect of Immigration on Wages<\/a>\u201d<em><i>Journal of the European Economic Association<\/i> 10<\/em>.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_6');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_6\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>6<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Historical episodes that served as \u201cnatural experiment\u201d for those immigration chocs are the Mariel boatlift in Miami in 1980 (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2523702\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Card, 1990<\/a>), repatriated workers from Algeria to France after 1962 (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2524278\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Hunt, 1992<\/a>), post-soviet Jews to Israel between 1990 and 1994 (<a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/qje\/article-abstract\/116\/4\/1373\/1903234?redirectedFrom=fulltext\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Friedberg, 2001<\/a>), Balkan refugees to 18 EU countries in the 1990s (<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1111\/1468-0297.00136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Angrist &amp; Kugler, 2003<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_7');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_7\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>7<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">&#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=2ahUKEwia6bzK7oTtAhWQHhQKHXo7DEYQFjAAegQIBBAC&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.journals.uchicago.edu%2Fdoi%2F10.1086%2F209979&amp;usg=AOvVaw1I2ehEfK3yonfemIJWrSsn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Impact of Mass Migration on the Israeli Labor Market<\/a>&#8220;, Rachel M. Friedberg, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, nov. 2001.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_8');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_8\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>8<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Joshua D. Angrist and Adriana D. Kugler, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/3590203?seq=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Protective or Counter-Productive? Labour Market Institutions and the Effect of Immigration on EU Natives<\/a>&#8220;, <em>The Economic Journal<\/em>, Jun., 2003; Hunt, Jennifer. 1992. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2524278\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Impact of the 1962 Repatriates from Algeria on the French Labor Market<\/a>.\u201d <i>Industrial and Labor Relations Review<\/i> 45<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_9');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_9\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>9<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">George J. Borjas and Joan Monras, 2016. &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/econpapers.repec.org\/paper\/cmfwpaper\/wp2016_5f1616.htm&amp;sa=D&amp;ust=1605455852540000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2K9iynPTlDNTmHOIk59YXq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Market Consequences of Refugee Supply Shocks<\/a>&#8220;, <em>Working Papers, CEMFI<\/em>.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_10');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_10\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>10<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Borjas, George J. 2003. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/25053941\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Demand Curve Is Downward Sloping: Reexamining the Impact of Immigration on the Labor Market<\/a>.\u201d <i>The Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/i> 118 ; Borjas, George J. 2017. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/0019793917692945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wage Impact of the <i>Marielitos<\/i>\u202f: A Reappraisal<\/a>.\u201d <i>ILR Review.<\/i><\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_11');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_11\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>11<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Fr\u00e9d\u00e9ric Docquier &amp; \u00c7a\u011flar Ozden &amp; Giovanni Peri, 2014. &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/ideas.repec.org\/a\/wly\/econjl\/v124y2014i579p1106-1145.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labour Market Effects of Immigration and Emigration in OECD Countries<\/a>,&#8221;<em> Economic Journal<\/em>, Royal Economic Society.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_12');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_12\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>12<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Clemens, Michael, and Jennifer Hunt. 2017. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3386\/w23433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Labor Market Effects of Refugee Waves: Reconciling Conflicting Results.<\/a>\u201d w23433. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_13');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_13\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>13<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Card, David. 1990. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.2307\/2523702\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market<\/a>\u201d <i>Industrial and Labor Relations Review<\/i> 43 (2): 245\u201357.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_14');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_14\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>14<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Peri, Giovanni. 2007. \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.3386\/w12956\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Immigrants\u2019 Complementarities and Native Wages: Evidence from California.<\/a>\u201d w12956. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n<tr class=\"footnotes_plugin_reference_row\"> <th scope=\"row\" class=\"footnote_plugin_index_combi pointer\"  onclick=\"footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1('footnote_plugin_tooltip_10319_1_15');\"><a id=\"footnote_plugin_reference_10319_1_15\" class=\"footnote_backlink\"><span class=\"footnote_index_arrow\">&#8593;<\/span>15<\/a><\/th> <td class=\"footnote_plugin_text\">Monras, Joan. 2018. <em>\u201c<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/cepr.org\/active\/publications\/discussion_papers\/dp.php?dpno=13394\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Immigration and Wage Dynamics: Evidence from the Mexican Peso Crisis.<\/a>\u201d<em> CEPR Discussion Paper 13394<\/em>.<\/td><\/tr>\r\n\r\n <\/tbody> <\/table> <\/div><\/div><script type=\"text\/javascript\"> function footnote_expand_reference_container_10319_1() { jQuery('#footnote_references_container_10319_1').show(); jQuery('#footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_10319_1').text('\u2212'); } function footnote_collapse_reference_container_10319_1() { jQuery('#footnote_references_container_10319_1').hide(); jQuery('#footnote_reference_container_collapse_button_10319_1').text('+'); } function footnote_expand_collapse_reference_container_10319_1() { if (jQuery('#footnote_references_container_10319_1').is(':hidden')) { footnote_expand_reference_container_10319_1(); } else { footnote_collapse_reference_container_10319_1(); } } function footnote_moveToReference_10319_1(p_str_TargetID) { footnote_expand_reference_container_10319_1(); var l_obj_Target = jQuery('#' + p_str_TargetID); if (l_obj_Target.length) { jQuery( 'html, body' ).delay( 0 ); jQuery('html, body').animate({ scrollTop: l_obj_Target.offset().top - window.innerHeight * 0.2 }, 380); } } function footnote_moveToAnchor_10319_1(p_str_TargetID) { footnote_expand_reference_container_10319_1(); var l_obj_Target = jQuery('#' + p_str_TargetID); if (l_obj_Target.length) { jQuery( 'html, body' ).delay( 0 ); jQuery('html, body').animate({ scrollTop: l_obj_Target.offset().top - window.innerHeight * 0.2 }, 380); } }<\/script>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Brief Overview of the State of the Art by H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Thiollet et Florian Oswald Labour economics classically predicts that wages are determined by supply<span class=\"excerpt-hellip\"> [\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":10269,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[272,270],"tags":[78,136,63],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10319\/?lang=en"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/?lang=en"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post\/?lang=en"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3\/?lang=en"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments\/?lang=en&post=10319"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10319\/revisions\/?lang=en"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10523,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10319\/revisions\/10523\/?lang=en"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10269\/?lang=en"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/?lang=en&parent=10319"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories\/?lang=en&post=10319"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/research\/cogito\/home\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags\/?lang=en&post=10319"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}