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190924 - The conditions of pledge fulfillment in France. A mixed-methods approach
Tue, 2019-09-24 12:30 - 14:30
CEE General Seminar "The conditions of pledge fulfillment in France. A mixed-methods approach"
Co-organized with Sciences Po, MaxPo
Tuesday 24 September 2019, 12.30-2.30 pm, Sciences Po, Room Goguel, 27 rue Saint-Guillaume, 75007 Paris
The PARTIPOL project, funded by the French Research Agency, explores the factors and mechanisms at play in the fulfillment of French electoral pledges – a key factor in representative governments’ legitimacy. While available pledge research focuses on institutional capacity, we argue that understanding which pledges are implemented requires to account not only for capacity, but also for governmental incentives. Combining electoral studies and public policy analysis allow us to better understand how pledge fulfillment is conditioned by the executive’s capacity and motivations. Our hypotheses are first explored using a quantitative analysis of the fulfillment of French electoral pledges (1995-2017). This preliminary analysis is completed by qualitative case studies of deviant cases – pledges fulfilled despite unfavorable conditions, and pledges not respected despite favorable conditions. Two main conclusions emerge: (1) governments’ incentives to keep the word are largely determined by the characteristics of the publics targeted by electoral pledges; (2) government capacity is multidimensional, with an institutional, an operational and a political dimension. When incentives are sufficiently strong, governments are able to convert political resources into additional room for maneuver. Next steps include coding the variables that have emerged from the qualitative analysis at a large-N scale and developing an international comparison.
Speaker: Isabelle Guinaudeau is associate CNRS researcher at the Centre Emile Durkheim (Sciences Po Bordeaux) and currently Humboldt Research Fellow at the University of Stuttgart. Her current research focuses on how elections and electoral promises shape public policy. Her research interests also include coalition governments and the politicization of European integration. Her articles have been published in journals such as Political Studies, the British Journal of Political Science, West European Politics, European Politics, the Journal of Public Policy and the Revue française de science politique.
Compulsory registration - For the external people to Sciences Po: You will have to arrive 10 minutes before the beginning of the seminar and to provide you with your identity papers)